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Manchester City v Chelsea, Premier League 2017–18

Man CityManchester City

Silva 46'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 0.8 to 0.1

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 61%, draw 24%, Chelsea win 15%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Chelsea
Man CityChelsea
0.80.1
1Goals0
2.00.6