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Manchester United v Arsenal, Premier League 2017–18

Man UnitedManchester United

Pogba 16'Fellaini 90+1'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.2 to 0.5

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Mkhitaryan 51'

Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 48%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 26%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 29. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Arsenal
Man UnitedArsenal
1.20.5
2Goals1
2.00.7