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Manchester United v Chelsea, Premier League 2017–18

Man UnitedManchester United

Lukaku 39'Lingard 75'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 0.9 to 1.4

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Willian 32'

Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 39%, draw 31%, Chelsea win 30%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 25. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Chelsea
Man UnitedChelsea
0.91.4
2Goals1
1.01.8