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Manchester United v Manchester City, Premier League 2017–18

Man UnitedManchester United

Rashford 45+2'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 0.9 to 2.3

Full time

Man CityManchester City

Silva 43'Otamendi 54'

Win chances: Man City favored. Man United win 31%, draw 26%, Man City win 43%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 10. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Man City
Man UnitedMan City
0.92.3
1Goals2
0.62.3