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Newcastle United v Arsenal, Premier League 2017–18

NewcastleNewcastle United

Pérez 29'Ritchie 68'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.0 to 1.7

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Lacazette 14'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Newcastle win 31%, draw 27%, Arsenal win 42%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 15. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Newcastle and Arsenal
NewcastleArsenal
1.01.7
2Goals1
0.91.9