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Newcastle United v Leicester City, Premier League 2017–18

NewcastleNewcastle United

Joselu 4'Gayle 73'

Final score 2 to 3

Expected goals 0.7 to 0.8

Full time

LeicesterLeicester City

Mahrez 20'Gray 60'Pérez 86' (OG)

Win chances: Leicester favored. Newcastle win 33%, draw 28%, Leicester win 39%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 9. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Newcastle and Leicester
NewcastleLeicester
0.70.8
2Goals3
1.31.4