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Southampton v Arsenal, Premier League 2017–18

SouthamptonSouthampton

Austin 3'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.5 to 0.9

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Giroud 88'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Southampton win 32%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 43%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 10. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Arsenal
SouthamptonArsenal
0.50.9
1Goals1
1.01.6