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Southampton v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2017–18

SouthamptonSouthampton

Tadic 25', 54'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.7 to 1.1

Full time

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

King 45+1'

Win chances: Southampton favored. Southampton win 51%, draw 28%, Bournemouth win 21%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Bournemouth
SouthamptonBournemouth
1.71.1
2Goals1
1.81.0