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Southampton v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2017–18

SouthamptonSouthampton

Stephens 64'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 1.7 to 1.2

Full time

BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion

Murray 14' penalty

Win chances: Southampton favored. Southampton win 53%, draw 29%, Brighton win 18%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 31. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Brighton
SouthamptonBrighton
1.71.2
1Goals1
1.71.1