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Southampton v Newcastle United, Premier League 2017–18

SouthamptonSouthampton

Gabbiadini 49', 75' penalty

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 1.6 to 1.8

Full time

NewcastleNewcastle United

Hayden 20'Pérez 51'

Win chances: Southampton favored. Southampton win 41%, draw 30%, Newcastle win 29%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 15. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Newcastle
SouthamptonNewcastle
1.61.8
2Goals2
1.31.5