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Stoke City v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2017–18

StokeStoke City

Shaqiri 68'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 1.8 to 1.7

Full time

BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion

Izquierdo 32'

Win chances: Stoke favored. Stoke win 43%, draw 31%, Brighton win 26%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 10. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Stoke and Brighton
StokeBrighton
1.81.7
1Goals1
1.41.3