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Stoke City v Burnley, Premier League 2017–18

StokeStoke City

N'Diaye 11'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.4 to 1.7

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Barnes 62'

Win chances: Stoke favored. Stoke win 37%, draw 33%, Burnley win 30%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Stoke and Burnley
StokeBurnley
0.41.7
1Goals1
0.52.3