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Stoke City v Southampton, Premier League 2017–18

StokeStoke City

Biram Diouf 40'Crouch 85'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 2.5 to 2.4

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Yoshida 75'

Win chances: Stoke favored. Stoke win 38%, draw 30%, Southampton win 32%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Stoke and Southampton
StokeSouthampton
2.52.4
2Goals1
1.51.4