Watford v Arsenal, Premier League 2017–18
WatfordWatford
Deeney 71' penaltyCleverley 90+2'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.6 to 0.9
ArsenalArsenal
Mertesacker 39'
- Date Saturday, October 14, 2017
- Premier League 2017–18
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 14. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Watford win 24%, draw 24%, Arsenal win 52%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 14. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Watford | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||