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Watford v Chelsea, Premier League 2017–18

WatfordWatford

Deeney 42' penaltyJanmaat 84'Deulofeu 88'Pereyra 90+1'

Final score 4 to 1

Expected goals 2.7 to 0.5

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Hazard 82'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Watford win 19%, draw 27%, Chelsea win 54%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Watford and Chelsea
WatfordChelsea
2.70.5
4Goals1
2.60.3