Arsenal v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2018–19
ArsenalArsenal
Aubameyang 9' penalty
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 2.7 to 1.8
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Murray 61' penalty
- Date Sunday, May 5, 2019
- Premier League 2018–19
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 5. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 70%, draw 18%, Brighton win 12%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Brighton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.8 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||