Arsenal v Burnley, Premier League 2018–19
ArsenalArsenal
Aubameyang 14', 48'Iwobi 90+1'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 1.6 to 0.8
BurnleyBurnley
Barnes 63'
- Date Saturday, December 22, 2018
- Premier League 2018–19
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 22. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 74%, draw 17%, Burnley win 9%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||