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Arsenal v Everton, Premier League 2018–19

ArsenalArsenal

Lacazette 56'Aubameyang 59'

Final score 2 to 0

Expected goals 0.8 to 0.7

Full time

EvertonEverton

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 64%, draw 21%, Everton win 15%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 23. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Everton
ArsenalEverton
0.80.7
2Goals0
1.41.2