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Arsenal v Fulham, Premier League 2018–19

ArsenalArsenal

Xhaka 25'Lacazette 55'Ramsey 79'Aubameyang 83'

Final score 4 to 1

Expected goals 2.3 to 0.8

Full time

FulhamFulham

Kamara 69'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 73%, draw 17%, Fulham win 10%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Fulham
ArsenalFulham
2.30.8
4Goals1
2.30.5