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Arsenal v Liverpool, Premier League 2018–19

ArsenalArsenal

Lacazette 82'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 1.3 to 1.6

Full time

LiverpoolLiverpool

Milner 61'

Win chances: Liverpool favored. Arsenal win 28%, draw 26%, Liverpool win 46%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Liverpool
ArsenalLiverpool
1.31.6
1Goals1
1.21.6