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Arsenal v Manchester City, Premier League 2018–19

ArsenalArsenal

Final score 0 to 2

Expected goals 0.6 to 1.1

Full time

Man CityManchester City

Sterling 14'Silva 64'

Win chances: Man City favored. Arsenal win 23%, draw 24%, Man City win 53%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Man City
ArsenalMan City
0.61.1
0Goals2
0.91.8