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Arsenal v Newcastle United, Premier League 2018–19

ArsenalArsenal

Ramsey 30'Lacazette 83'

Final score 2 to 0

Expected goals 0.8 to 0.1

Full time

NewcastleNewcastle United

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 66%, draw 20%, Newcastle win 14%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Newcastle
ArsenalNewcastle
0.80.1
2Goals0
1.90.6