Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur, Premier League 2018–19
ArsenalArsenal
Aubameyang 10' penalty, 56'Lacazette 74'Torreira 77'
Final score 4 to 2
Expected goals 2.5 to 1.3
TottenhamTottenham Hotspur
Dier 30'Kane 34' penalty
- Date Sunday, December 2, 2018
- Premier League 2018–19
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 2. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Tottenham favored. Arsenal win 35%, draw 26%, Tottenham win 39%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Tottenham | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.3 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||