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Arsenal v Watford, Premier League 2018–19

ArsenalArsenal

Cathcart 81' (OG)Özil 83'

Final score 2 to 0

Expected goals 1.0 to 1.7

Full time

WatfordWatford

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 60%, draw 24%, Watford win 16%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 29. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Watford
ArsenalWatford
1.01.7
2Goals0
0.91.9