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Arsenal v Wolverhampton Wanderers, Premier League 2018–19

ArsenalArsenal

Mkhitaryan 86'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.9 to 1.5

Full time

WolvesWolverhampton Wanderers

Cavaleiro 13'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 44%, draw 28%, Wolves win 28%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Wolves
ArsenalWolves
0.91.5
1Goals1
1.01.8