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AFC Bournemouth v Arsenal, Premier League 2018–19

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

King 45+1'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 0.8 to 2.2

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Lerma 30' (OG)Aubameyang 67'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Bournemouth win 31%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 44%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 25. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Bournemouth and Arsenal
BournemouthArsenal
0.82.2
1Goals2
0.62.2