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AFC Bournemouth v Leicester City, Premier League 2018–19

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Fraser 19', 37'King 41' penaltySmith 81'

Final score 4 to 2

Expected goals 1.9 to 2.4

Full time

LeicesterLeicester City

Maddison 88' penaltyAlbrighton 89'

Win chances: Bournemouth favored. Bournemouth win 37%, draw 28%, Leicester win 35%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 15. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Bournemouth and Leicester
BournemouthLeicester
1.92.4
4Goals2
1.21.6