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Brighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal, Premier League 2018–19

BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion

Locadia 35'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 1.4 to 0.6

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Aubameyang 7'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Brighton win 22%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 53%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Brighton and Arsenal
BrightonArsenal
1.40.6
1Goals1
2.00.8