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Brighton & Hove Albion v Chelsea, Premier League 2018–19

BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion

March 66'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 0.4 to 1.3

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Pedro 17'Hazard 33'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Brighton win 18%, draw 25%, Chelsea win 57%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Brighton and Chelsea
BrightonChelsea
0.41.3
1Goals2
0.62.1