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Brighton & Hove Albion v Manchester United, Premier League 2018–19

BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion

Murray 25'Duffy 27'Gross 44' penalty

Final score 3 to 2

Expected goals 1.5 to 1.6

Full time

Man UnitedManchester United

Lukaku 34'Pogba 90+5' penalty

Win chances: Man United favored. Brighton win 23%, draw 31%, Man United win 46%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Brighton and Man United
BrightonMan United
1.51.6
3Goals2
1.31.4