Burnley v Arsenal, Premier League 2018–19
BurnleyBurnley
Barnes 65'
Final score 1 to 3
Expected goals 1.6 to 2.5
ArsenalArsenal
Aubameyang 52', 63'Nketiah 90+4'
- Date Sunday, May 12, 2019
- Premier League 2018–19
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 12. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Burnley win 32%, draw 24%, Arsenal win 44%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.5 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 0.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.9 | ||