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Burnley v Everton, Premier League 2018–19

BurnleyBurnley

Gibson 36'

Final score 1 to 5

Expected goals 1.6 to 1.9

Full time

EvertonEverton

Mina 2'Digne 13', 71'Sigurdsson 22' penaltyRicharlison 90+3'

Win chances: Everton favored. Burnley win 27%, draw 28%, Everton win 45%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Burnley and Everton
BurnleyEverton
1.61.9
1Goals5
1.21.5