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Burnley v Fulham, Premier League 2018–19

BurnleyBurnley

Hendrick 20'Odoi 23' (OG)

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 0.6 to 1.1

Full time

FulhamFulham

Schürrle 2'

Win chances: Burnley favored. Burnley win 48%, draw 26%, Fulham win 26%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Burnley and Fulham
BurnleyFulham
0.61.1
2Goals1
0.91.8