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Burnley v Watford, Premier League 2018–19

BurnleyBurnley

Tarkowski 6'

Final score 1 to 3

Expected goals 0.7 to 1.1

Full time

WatfordWatford

Gray 3'Deeney 48'Hughes 51'

Win chances: Burnley favored. Burnley win 39%, draw 32%, Watford win 29%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Burnley and Watford
BurnleyWatford
0.71.1
1Goals3
1.11.6