Cardiff City v Arsenal, Premier League 2018–19
CardiffCardiff City
Camarasa 45+2'Ward 70'
Final score 2 to 3
Expected goals 1.7 to 1.8
ArsenalArsenal
Mustafi 11'Aubameyang 62'Lacazette 81'
- Date Sunday, September 2, 2018
- Premier League 2018–19
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 2. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Cardiff win 23%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 51%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Cardiff | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.8 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||