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Cardiff City v Arsenal, Premier League 2018–19

CardiffCardiff City

Camarasa 45+2'Ward 70'

Final score 2 to 3

Expected goals 1.7 to 1.8

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Mustafi 11'Aubameyang 62'Lacazette 81'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Cardiff win 23%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 51%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Cardiff and Arsenal
CardiffArsenal
1.71.8
2Goals3
1.31.5