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Cardiff City v Burnley, Premier League 2018–19

CardiffCardiff City

Murphy 60'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 1.8 to 0.3

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Gudmundsson 51'Vokes 70'

Win chances: Burnley favored. Cardiff win 33%, draw 32%, Burnley win 35%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Cardiff and Burnley
CardiffBurnley
1.80.3
1Goals2
2.50.3