Chelsea v Arsenal, Premier League 2018–19
ChelseaChelsea
Pedro 9'Morata 20'Alonso 81'
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 1.9 to 1.2
ArsenalArsenal
Mkhitaryan 37'Iwobi 41'
- Date Saturday, August 18, 2018
- Premier League 2018–19
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 53%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 22%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.2 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||