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Chelsea v Burnley, Premier League 2018–19

ChelseaChelsea

Kanté 12'Higuaín 14'

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 2.0 to 0.8

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Hendrick 8'Barnes 24'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 67%, draw 20%, Burnley win 13%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Burnley
ChelseaBurnley
2.00.8
2Goals2
2.20.6