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Chelsea v Cardiff City, Premier League 2018–19

ChelseaChelsea

Hazard 37', 43', 80' penaltyWillian 83'

Final score 4 to 1

Expected goals 2.7 to 0.9

Full time

CardiffCardiff City

Bamba 16'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 68%, draw 22%, Cardiff win 10%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 15. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Cardiff
ChelseaCardiff
2.70.9
4Goals1
2.40.5