Chelsea v Crystal Palace, Premier League 2018–19
ChelseaChelsea
Morata 32', 65'Pedro 70'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 1.5 to 0.5
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Townsend 53'
- Date Sunday, November 4, 2018
- Premier League 2018–19
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 64%, draw 22%, Crystal Palace win 14%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Crystal Palace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.5 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||