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Chelsea v Liverpool, Premier League 2018–19

ChelseaChelsea

Hazard 25'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 1.8 to 1.1

Full time

LiverpoolLiverpool

Sturridge 89'

Win chances: Liverpool favored. Chelsea win 32%, draw 31%, Liverpool win 37%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 29. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Liverpool
ChelseaLiverpool
1.81.1
1Goals1
1.80.9