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Chelsea v Newcastle United, Premier League 2018–19

ChelseaChelsea

Pedro 9'Willian 57'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.1 to 0.7

Full time

NewcastleNewcastle United

Clark 40'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 70%, draw 21%, Newcastle win 9%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Newcastle
ChelseaNewcastle
1.10.7
2Goals1
1.71.0