Everton v Arsenal, Premier League 2018–19
EvertonEverton
Jagielka 10'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 1.6 to 0.5
ArsenalArsenal
- Date Sunday, April 7, 2019
- Premier League 2018–19
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 7. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Everton win 35%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 40%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 7. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Everton | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.5 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||