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Everton v Southampton, Premier League 2018–19

EvertonEverton

Walcott 15'Richarlison 31'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.3 to 1.7

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Ings 54'

Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 42%, draw 30%, Southampton win 28%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Everton and Southampton
EvertonSouthampton
1.31.7
2Goals1
1.11.7