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Fulham v Southampton, Premier League 2018–19

FulhamFulham

Mitrovic 33', 63'Schürrle 43'

Final score 3 to 2

Expected goals 0.9 to 1.7

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Armstrong 18', 53'

Win chances: Southampton favored. Fulham win 25%, draw 28%, Southampton win 47%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 24. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Fulham and Southampton
FulhamSouthampton
0.91.7
3Goals2
0.82.0