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Leicester City v Arsenal, Premier League 2018–19

LeicesterLeicester City

Tielemans 59'Vardy 86', 90+5'

Final score 3 to 0

Expected goals 2.5 to 0.5

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Win chances: Leicester favored. Leicester win 39%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 36%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Leicester and Arsenal
LeicesterArsenal
2.50.5
3Goals0
2.60.3