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Leicester City v Southampton, Premier League 2018–19

LeicesterLeicester City

Ndidi 58'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 1.6 to 1.4

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Ward-Prowse 11' penaltyLong 45+2'

Win chances: Leicester favored. Leicester win 46%, draw 29%, Southampton win 25%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Leicester and Southampton
LeicesterSouthampton
1.61.4
1Goals2
1.51.2