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Leicester City v Watford, Premier League 2018–19

LeicesterLeicester City

Vardy 12' penaltyMaddison 23'

Final score 2 to 0

Expected goals 1.5 to 1.2

Full time

WatfordWatford

Win chances: Leicester favored. Leicester win 45%, draw 29%, Watford win 26%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Leicester and Watford
LeicesterWatford
1.51.2
2Goals0
1.61.1