Liverpool v Arsenal, Premier League 2018–19
LiverpoolLiverpool
Firmino 14', 16', 65' penaltyMané 32'Salah 45+2' penalty
Final score 5 to 1
Expected goals 3.0 to 0.8
ArsenalArsenal
Maitland-Niles 11'
- Date Saturday, December 29, 2018
- Premier League 2018–19
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 29. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 63%, draw 22%, Arsenal win 15%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 29. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Liverpool | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 5 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.3 | ||