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Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2018–19

Man CityManchester City

Silva 16'Sterling 57'Gündogan 79'

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 2.0 to 0.6

Full time

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Wilson 44'

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 86%, draw 10%, Bournemouth win 4%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Bournemouth
Man CityBournemouth
2.00.6
3Goals1
2.30.5